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Precious Metals
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General Precious Metals
Despite Downturn, Silver Market Looks Positive
Despite Downturn, Silver Market Looks Positive
Source: Clive Maund, The Gold Report
Silver has reacted back as predicted in the last update about a month ago. On its 9-month chart, above, we can see that it broke down from an intermediate top, as expected, back toward the important support shown. But on Friday it had a good rally, which suggests that it may not drop that far, and could turn up again here.
Overall this is a positive-looking chart and the main question is which uptrend channel it adheres to. As we can see, there has been a significant price/time correction since early July that has served to completely unwind the earlier overbought condition, so Friday's turnaround could mark the beginning of the next up-leg. Even if it should head lower again soon, it is thought unlikely that it will drop below the support at and below $18.00, especially as it is underpinned by an important channel support line. Should it drop that low, silver would look most attractive.
The long-term, 10-year arithmetic chart gives us a much broader perspective. This is actually a very positive chart overall, for as we can see silver's bear market phase from 2011 has definitely ended. However, it has risen quite sharply in recent months to arrive at a zone of significant resistance, so the current reaction is quite normal and should set it up to break above this resistance and continue higher.
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